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Tree resistance outweighs climatic drivers in governing extreme growth suppression
作   者: Dong YT, Fang OY*, Deng Y, Lai JS, Jia HF
期刊名称: iScience
影响因子: 4.1
出版年份: 2025
卷 期 号: 28( 8)
页     码: 113043
论文摘要:

While climate extremes are conventionally considered primary triggers of extreme growth suppression (EGS) in trees, the role of trees’ intrinsic resistance capacity in mediating EGS remains a persistent knowledge gap. By analyzing 4,599 EGSs across 2,631 juniper trees at 61 sites on the Tibetan Plateau, we quantified the influence of intrinsic and extrinsic factors on EGS using a random forest model and a piecewise structural equation model. The results showed tree resistance exerted 1.7× greater effect on EGS likelihood than climatic variables of the current year, mediated through both direct physiological pathways and indirect age-related effects. Tree age negatively modulated resistance capacity. These findings fundamentally challenge the climate-centric paradigm in dendroecology, which emphasizes the critical role of individual tree physiology in mediating climate responses. Our mechanistic framework advances a predictive model of forest dynamics under climate change by integrating resilience with traditional climate-growth relationships.


原文链接:https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2589004225013045?via%3Dihub